Submitted by Patrick on September 9, 2020 - 3:55pm.
Expect 0.0 mm of precipitation over the next 3 hours.
Last. Wednesday and Thursday see a temporary ridge of high pressure move in to keep marine layer at bay and warm beach max temps into the upper 70s. (More Info), This refers to the sustained average wind speed, normally averaged over a period of 10 minutes for up to 3 hrs. LA buoys were hovering around 62-65° this morning. Today is the smallest day for surf in the SoCal forecast. The Old Farmer’s Almanac Long Range Weather Forecasts show deviations from normal temperatures and precipitation amounts, based on 30-year rolling averages gathered by government meteorological agencies, specifically NOAA and Environment Canada. I'm here in Ventura county 5 min away from the beach with 90+ degree weather, it's terrible. At all. Gonna be a bad winter. Expect 0.4 mm precipitation over the next 12 hours. For the complete 12-month long range prediction, pick up a copy of The Old Farmer’s Almanac! 30 days and beyond. Temps in the 100s here in the coast valley forge straight days.
Running the numbers this morning, based on this storm's peak Thursday night, size is coming in at chest high on the sets for west facing breaks; however, since this swell will be angled so steep (305°) from such a high latitude placement, sets will likely be highly infrequent with long lulls between sets. Weather tends to evolve in patterns that last 5 to 7 days. I don't know why anybody uses the Farmer's Almanac which is presumptive and sounds apparently uses 1820s technology. Looking further out on the long range surf horizon, the 150h+ southern hemisphere models show a storm swirling off Antarctica south of Pitcairn with 35' seas with a bit of a northward nudge. In other words, this does not mean that temperatures will feel mild, but rather that temperatures will not be as cold as average (based on the 1981 to 2010 averages). None of this is even close to being correct. NOAA releases 2020-2021 winter forecast, expecting warmer temperatures in the South The forecast calls for above average temperatures in the southern U.S. The way I calculate the average temperature for a region is by looking at a map showing the “official normal” temperatures for locations in the region (which are averages of the past 30 years, updated every 10 years), and calculating an average for the region, eye-ball weighted by area and also population.
Nearshore buoys were averaging 1.3-1.8'. The heat came early. Expect 0.4 mm precipitation over the next 6 hours. Submitted by Burt Backelboppel on October 15, 2020 - 2:34pm. Friday will likely start out with light northerly winds 4-7 mph, then turn NW later in the morning and reach 15-20 mph sometime in the afternoon. South facing breaks should run chest high with no wrap, bigger with NW wrap. It's sunny and definitely cool with 45 degrees. Home > Graphical Forecasts > Southern California: This graphical forecast page is planned to be replaced by the map viewer now operationally available at digital.weather.gov.
Country: California, USA, City: Thermal.
See weather overview. Having long periods in the 18-second range, there's also the chance of seeing a few wave-of-the-day head high pluses, but those should be rare in SoCal where our magic mark for NW swell rides below 300°. United States Los Angeles, California Long Range Weather Forecast Helping You Avoid Bad Weather. These include 8-14 day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Wind Outlook A Risky Day is not a direct prediction of precipitation (Rain/Snow) but instead a forecast of ideal conditions for a storm to enter the region. Recognizing but not having space or time to explain how many factors–including ocean temps–affect the weather, here is an explanation from our meteorologist of how we make our forecasts averages. Our 60-day weather forecast includes the temperature and precipitation outlook versus normal for each month. (More Info), The total amount of cloud as a percentage is derived from looking at cloud cover throughout the atmosphere and estimating how these combine when looked at from the ground. Our long range forecasts can be used to make more informed decisions about future plans that depend on the weather, from vacations and weddings to sporting events and outdoor activities. Expect 0.5 mm precipitation over the next 6 hours. See the extended forecast for Los Angeles, California, part of the Pacific Southwest weather region. This initial southern hemi — before something better at the end of the week — is expected to bring waist to chest high waves to south facing breaks, angled from 180° and periods 18 seconds. The statisticians are using models that no longer work. A slightly better sized southern hemi ground swell is due by Friday. It's like an inferno today. The mean minimum temperature will be 6°C, dipping to its lowest on the morning of Monday 9th at -4°C. ETA would be Saturday the 7th into Sunday the 8th, so this may be overshadowed by NW wrap, making the tropical swell harder to notice. Year. Try looking for a nearby city or town. Expect 0.5 mm precipitation over the next 12 hours. But, being wind swell puts this into only a one-day swell window to confirm; on the other hand, nearly all models are in agreement on this, so confidence is high today. 2 Week Extended Forecast in Southern California, California, USA . Expect 0.1 mm of precipitation over the next 3 hours. In OC, Huntington and Newport were once again running 60-61° while San Clemente reported warmer at 66° yesterday. We as humans have raped and misused our planet and NOW are paying the price for being poor custodians of a fragile ecosystem that has become completely out of balance, look at what the Industrial Revolution of the 1800s along with the "Technological Revolution" of current times has done for planet Earth! Climate information with charts. Unfortunately, there are a few locations that we were unable to obtain accurate data for. Expect 0.1 mm precipitation over the next 6 hours. If that does happen, then south facing breaks would see chest+ sets around the 15th, angled from 180° with periods 18 seconds. The stormiest periods will be from late January into early February, mid- to late February, and late March into early April. The Almanac finally caught up today the 27th. Expect 0.2 mm precipitation over the next 12 hours. Saturday the 7th (building late Friday the 6th) will likely see significant NW wind swell, with periods long enough to classify it in the ground-swell range.
It is not worth the post to have this website. Add the thick layer of smoke and you've got Dantes inferno. Thanks to all of you for writing. 118F in the San Fernando Valley of Los Angeles is just wildly crazy. Water temps will likely drop by Sunday the 8th from a strong wind-event by the weekend. © 30dayweather.com 2020.
(More Info), Temperature from our forecast perspective are fairly well defined, they are what we would expect to measure in a standard meteorological screen (in other words, shaded and well ventilated) at 2 metres above ground level. Friday the 6th is expected to run chest high at south facing breaks with occasional, rare head high pluses at standouts. Southern California Extended Forecast with high and low temperatures °F. Submitted by Jake on October 4, 2020 - 6:32pm. at 6:00 AM were light and variable most everywhere.
Scroll right to see more Conditions Comfort Precipitation Sun; Day Temperature Weather Feels Like Wind Humidity Chance Amount UV Sunrise Sunset; Sat Oct 31: 81 / 40 °F: Mostly sunny. Although wind swell would dominate the weekend, it's worthwhile to note that we may see some tropical swell in the mix from this late season storm: All models show something moving ideally north to send swell to SoCal, but only the GFS (so far) this morning is bullish enough to place 15' seas at 900 nautical miles from SoCal, which would provide SoCal's south facing breaks with chest+ sets, angled from 180° and periods 9-11 seconds. Condition-wise: extreme swings in weather this week with lingering effects into next week; problematic winds being watched for the weekend; tide levels even-out late in the week; and water temps, although fair for this time of year right now, could take a nosedive this coming weekend into early next week. It doesn't seem like it. This is from that North Pacific pattern I talked about in my last report (see older graphic here), which has now morphed into this quite ominous development (model by NOAA MAG): La Niña-like, strong high pressure in the Gulf of Alaska (circled in blue) is expected to get side-swiped by an exceptionally strong and cold trough of low pressure dropping south from Canada (circled in red). A Risky Day is not a direct prediction of precipitation (Rain/Snow) but instead a forecast of ideal conditions for a storm to enter the region. Conditions may deteriorate quickly in the afternoon. Today (Sunday) is an exceptionally small day for surf in SoCal, but it won't stay that way for long. Tuesday sees a temporary trough of low pressure push south, thickening up the AM marine layer a bit for a mid to late AM burn-off, and max beach temps in the upper 60s to around 70°.
Note: The Old Farmer’s Almanac weather predictions are based on trends and long range forecasts made more than a year in advance. There may also be tropical swell in the mix over the weekend. Professional Long Range Forecastsfor Everyday Use. 30 days and beyond. Keep in mind that this applies to the region as a whole, rather than a specific location. While long term modeling has come a long way in the last decade, these predictions should not serve as an accurate representation as to whether or not there will be powder for you Christmas vacation in Big Sky.
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